Missouri State
W-L: (20-30) PR = 90.7976Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 1-10 206 H Belmont MV ( 5- 5, 93.3) 0- 9 207 H Fordham A10 ( 0- 9, 89.7) 10- 6 207 A Belmont MV ( 5- 5, 93.3) 0- 3 208 A Fordham A10 ( 0- 9, 89.7) 8- 0 213 H Grambling SWAC ( 0- 3, 86.3) 9- 1 213 H Jackson State SWAC ( 0- 6, 85.2) 8- 0 215 H Rhode Island A10 ( 1- 5, 90.1) 4- 1 215 H Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 7- 9 220 A Southern Illinois MV ( 3- 7, 89.1) 5- 4 220 A Tennessee SEC (45-15, 96.9) 0- 5 221 A Ole Miss SEC (35-26, 95.3) 0- 2 222 A UAB AC (21-32, 91.5) 5- 9 222 A Virginia Tech ACC (48-12, 97.0) 3- 9 227 H Arkansas-Pine Bluff SWAC ( 0- 6, 85.0) 12- 0 227 A Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 6- 1 228 A Northwestern State SL ( 3-11, 90.0) 3- 5 228 A Arkansas-Pine Bluff SWAC ( 0- 6, 85.0) 9- 0 303 A Oklahoma State B12 (41-17, 97.1) 3- 8 306 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 3- 4 306 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 0- 8 308 A Western Kentucky CUSA (37-11, 93.6) 1- 6 309 H Arkansas SEC (48-12, 99.7) 0-12 313 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 8- 0 314 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 5-11 314 H Kennesaw State CUSA ( 9-43, 88.0) 4- 1 320 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 6- 5 321 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 2- 3 322 A Delaware CUSA (33-20, 91.4) 2- 5 327 H Iowa B10 (27-26, 93.0) 5- 7 328 H Rutgers B10 (28-27, 93.4) 0- 6 329 A Louisiana Tech CUSA (28-24, 92.8) 3- 0 331 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 5- 8 402 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 2- 0 403 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 1- 7 403 H Liberty CUSA (27-26, 92.4) 0- 8 407 H SIU Edwardsville OV ( 2- 9, 87.5) 8- 2 410 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 0- 5 411 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 9- 1 412 A Sam Houston CUSA (29-27, 91.6) 1- 9 415 A Georgetown BE ( 2- 5, 91.8) 4- 3 417 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 1- 3 418 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 2-25 419 H Jacksonville State CUSA (42-14, 94.8) 11-12 421 A Kansas City SM ( 2- 8, 88.6) 2-10 424 A UTEP CUSA (13-37, 88.6) 3- 1 425 H California ACC (17-34, 91.3) 8- 0 430 A Southern Miss SB (35-23, 91.7) 4- 6 501 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 3- 1 502 H New Mexico State CUSA (26-26, 91.9) 2-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Georgia 1-10 -9 -8 -1.36
206 H Belmont 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -7.24
207 H Fordham 10- 6 4 2 + 2.21
207 A Belmont 0- 3 -3 -3 0.25
208 A Fordham 8- 0 8 0 +++ 7.69
213 H Grambling 9- 1 8 5 + 2.73
213 H Jackson State 8- 0 8 6 1.62
215 H Rhode Island 4- 1 3 1 1.59
215 H Texas 7- 9 -2 -7 ++ 5.42
220 A Southern Illinois 5- 4 1 1 0.02
220 A Tennessee 0- 5 -5 -7 1.86
221 A Ole Miss 0- 2 -2 -5 + 3.24
222 A UAB 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.59
222 A Virginia Tech 3- 9 -6 -7 0.97
227 H Arkansas-Pine Bluff 12- 0 12 7 ++ 5.45
227 A Northwestern State 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.97
228 A Northwestern State 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.03
228 A Arkansas-Pine Bluff 9- 0 9 5 + 3.93
303 A Oklahoma State 3- 8 -5 -7 + 2.05
306 A Western Kentucky 3- 4 -1 -4 + 2.53
306 A Western Kentucky 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.47
308 A Western Kentucky 1- 6 -5 -4 -1.47
309 H Arkansas 0-12 -12 -8 - -3.87
313 H Kennesaw State 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.45
314 H Kennesaw State 5-11 -6 4 --- -9.55
314 H Kennesaw State 4- 1 3 4 -0.55
320 A Delaware 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.39
321 A Delaware 2- 3 -1 -1 0.39
322 A Delaware 2- 5 -3 -1 -1.61
327 H Iowa 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.58
328 H Rutgers 0- 6 -6 -2 -- -4.10
329 A Louisiana Tech 3- 0 3 -3 ++ 5.73
331 H Missouri 5- 8 -3 -3 -0.04
402 H Liberty 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.83
403 H Liberty 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.17
403 H Liberty 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.17
407 H SIU Edwardsville 8- 2 6 4 + 2.00
410 A Sam Houston 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.41
411 A Sam Houston 9- 1 8 -2 +++ 9.59
412 A Sam Houston 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.41
415 A Georgetown 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.70
417 H Jacksonville State 1- 3 -2 -3 1.23
418 H Jacksonville State 2-25 -23 -3 --- -10.77
419 H Jacksonville State 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.23
421 A Kansas City 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.43
424 A UTEP 3- 1 2 1 0.58
425 H California 8- 0 8 0 +++ 7.79
430 A Southern Miss 4- 6 -2 -2 -0.39
501 H New Mexico State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.38
502 H New Mexico State 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.62
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Belmont 0- 9 -9 -2 --- -7.24 314 H Kennesaw State 5-11 -6 4 --- -9.55 403 H Liberty 0- 8 -8 -1 --- -7.17 412 A Sam Houston 1- 9 -8 -2 --- -6.41 418 H Jacksonville State 2-25 -23 -3 --- -10.77 421 A Kansas City 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.43 502 H New Mexico State 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.62 306 A Western Kentucky 0- 8 -8 -4 -- -4.47 328 H Rutgers 0- 6 -6 -2 -- -4.10 403 H Liberty 1- 7 -6 -1 -- -5.17 222 A UAB 5- 9 -4 -1 - -2.59 228 A Northwestern State 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.03 309 H Arkansas 0-12 -12 -8 - -3.87 410 A Sam Houston 0- 5 -5 -2 - -3.41 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 208 A Fordham 8- 0 8 0 +++ 7.69 411 A Sam Houston 9- 1 8 -2 +++ 9.59 425 H California 8- 0 8 0 +++ 7.79 215 H Texas 7- 9 -2 -7 ++ 5.42 227 H Arkansas-Pine Bluff 12- 0 12 7 ++ 5.45 227 A Northwestern State 6- 1 5 0 ++ 4.97 313 H Kennesaw State 8- 0 8 4 ++ 4.45 329 A Louisiana Tech 3- 0 3 -3 ++ 5.73 207 H Fordham 10- 6 4 2 + 2.21 213 H Grambling 9- 1 8 5 + 2.73 221 A Ole Miss 0- 2 -2 -5 + 3.24 228 A Arkansas-Pine Bluff 9- 0 9 5 + 3.93 303 A Oklahoma State 3- 8 -5 -7 + 2.05 306 A Western Kentucky 3- 4 -1 -4 + 2.53 320 A Delaware 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.39 402 H Liberty 2- 0 2 -1 + 2.83 407 H SIU Edwardsville 8- 2 6 4 + 2.00 415 A Georgetown 4- 3 1 -2 + 2.70 419 H Jacksonville State 11-12 -1 -3 + 2.23 501 H New Mexico State 3- 1 2 0 + 2.38 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 1-10 -2.21 17.16 0.74 0.50 -0.37
3 H Belmont ( 5- 5, 93.3) 0- 9 -6.60 12.77 -0.74 0.50 -1.85
3 H Fordham ( 0- 9, 89.7) 10- 6 -10.15 9.22 -0.74 0.50 8.55
3 A Belmont ( 5- 5, 93.3) 0- 3 -6.60 12.77 0.74 0.50 -1.48
3 A Fordham ( 0- 9, 89.7) 8- 0 -10.15 9.22 0.74 0.50 10.04
3 H Grambling ( 0- 3, 86.3) 9- 1 -13.63 5.74 -0.74 0.50 5.04
3 H Jackson State ( 0- 6, 85.2) 8- 0 -14.74 4.63 -0.74 0.50 3.92
3 H Rhode Island ( 1- 5, 90.1) 4- 1 -9.77 9.60 -0.74 0.50 8.93
3 H Texas (52-13, 99.0) 7- 9 -0.94 18.43 -0.74 0.50 -0.42
3 A Southern Illin ( 3- 7, 89.1) 5- 4 -10.83 8.54 0.74 0.50 9.36
3 A Tennessee (45-15, 96.9) 0- 5 -2.99 16.38 0.74 0.50 -0.57
3 A Ole Miss (35-26, 95.3) 0- 2 -4.60 14.77 0.74 0.50 -0.97
3 A UAB (21-32, 91.5) 5- 9 -8.43 10.94 0.74 0.50 -1.94
3 A Virginia Tech (48-12, 97.0) 3- 9 -2.87 16.50 0.74 0.50 -0.54
3 H Arkansas-Pine ( 0- 6, 85.0) 12- 0 -14.91 4.46 -0.74 0.50 3.75
3 A Northwestern S ( 3-11, 90.0) 6- 1 -9.87 9.50 0.74 0.50 10.32
3 A Northwestern S ( 3-11, 90.0) 3- 5 -9.87 9.50 0.74 0.50 -2.30
3 A Arkansas-Pine ( 0- 6, 85.0) 9- 0 -14.91 4.46 0.74 0.50 5.24
3 A Oklahoma State (41-17, 97.1) 3- 8 -2.79 16.58 0.74 0.50 -0.52
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 3- 4 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.50 -1.40
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 0- 8 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.50 -1.40
3 A Western Kentuc (37-11, 93.6) 1- 6 -6.31 13.06 0.74 0.50 -1.40
3 H Arkansas (48-12, 99.7) 0-12 -0.23 19.14 -0.74 0.50 -0.25
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 8- 0 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.50 6.77
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 5-11 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.50 -3.19
3 H Kennesaw State ( 9-43, 88.0) 4- 1 -11.91 7.46 -0.74 0.50 6.77
3 A Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 6- 5 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.50 11.76
3 A Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 2- 3 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.50 -1.94
3 A Delaware (33-20, 91.4) 2- 5 -8.45 10.92 0.74 0.50 -1.94
3 H Iowa (27-26, 93.0) 5- 7 -6.94 12.43 -0.74 0.50 -1.94
3 H Rutgers (28-27, 93.4) 0- 6 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.50 -1.81
3 A Louisiana Tech (28-24, 92.8) 3- 0 -7.11 12.26 0.74 0.50 13.11
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 5- 8 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.50 -1.55
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 2- 0 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.50 11.19
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 1- 7 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.50 -2.09
3 H Liberty (27-26, 92.4) 0- 8 -7.53 11.84 -0.74 0.50 -2.09
3 H SIU Edwardsvil ( 2- 9, 87.5) 8- 2 -12.36 7.01 -0.74 0.50 6.32
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 0- 5 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.50 -1.89
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 9- 1 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.50 11.95
3 A Sam Houston (29-27, 91.6) 1- 9 -8.26 11.11 0.74 0.50 -1.89
3 A Georgetown ( 2- 5, 91.8) 4- 3 -8.15 11.22 0.74 0.50 12.06
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 1- 3 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.50 -1.48
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 2-25 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.50 -1.48
3 H Jacksonville S (42-14, 94.8) 11-12 -5.13 14.24 -0.74 0.50 -1.48
3 A Kansas City ( 2- 8, 88.6) 2-10 -11.27 8.10 0.74 0.50 -2.65
3 A UTEP (13-37, 88.6) 3- 1 -11.26 8.11 0.74 0.50 8.92
3 H California (17-34, 91.3) 8- 0 -8.57 10.80 -0.74 0.50 10.14
3 A Southern Miss (35-23, 91.7) 4- 6 -8.24 11.13 0.74 0.50 -1.89
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 3- 1 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.50 10.73
3 H New Mexico Sta (26-26, 91.9) 2-11 -7.98 11.39 -0.74 0.50 -2.20
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127.95
|
winning pts = 174.8788 losing points = -46.9265
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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